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In a closely contested race for the presidency, a recent ABC News/Ipsos poll shows Donald Trump leading in trust to handle most issues, while President Joe Biden remains competitive on key personal attributes. With Election Day just six months away, the outcome remains uncertain.
Excluding those who wouldn't vote, Trump has 46% support compared to Biden's 44% in a national survey of over 2,200 adults. Among registered voters, Biden leads with 46% against Trump's 45%. Among likely voters, Biden maintains a lead with 49% against Trump's 45%, which is not a significant difference.
Even in a five-way contest, the poll results remain consistent. Trump leads with 42% compared to Biden's 40%, with Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 12%, Cornel West at 2%, and Jill Stein at 1%. However, the inclusion of Kennedy, West, and Stein assumes they will be on the ballot in all states, which is uncertain.
Despite 77% of Kennedy's supporters claiming to know little about his positions on issues, they are more likely to be Republicans or GOP-leaning independents (54%) than Democrats and Democratic leaners (42%). In a two-way race, Kennedy's supporters favor Trump over Biden by 13 points.
A potential risk for Trump is highlighted in his ongoing trial in New York on charges of falsifying business records to conceal a payoff to a pornographic actress. Eighty percent of Trump's supporters say they would stick with him even if he is convicted, but 20% say they would reconsider or withdraw their support.
One of the survey's key questions is why Biden remains competitive despite significant disadvantages. Just 35% of Americans approve of his job performance, with 57% disapproving. Additionally, 43% say they've become worse off financially under his presidency, and 81% believe he is too old for another term. In contrast, Trump is perceived as mentally sharper and in better physical health.
Trump leads in trust to handle six out of ten issues tested in the survey, including the economy, inflation, and crime and safety. Biden leads on abortion access and health care, but these are relatively low-rated issues.
Despite Biden's weaknesses, he leads by 16 points on being seen as honest and trustworthy, and is about tied with Trump on representing personal values and understanding the problems of people like you. More people view Biden favorably as a person compared to Trump.
In terms of handling issues, among those who don't trust either candidate, Biden leads significantly. For instance, among those who don't trust either to handle the economy, Biden has 49% support compared to Trump's 13%. Biden also leads among those who doubt either candidate's mental sharpness or physical health.
While Biden is perceived as too old for another term by 80% of Americans, a smaller majority (55%) says the same about Trump. Biden also receives support from those who consider him too old, while Trump gets less support from those who hold this view about him.
In conclusion, the race between Biden and Trump remains closely contested, with both candidates having strengths and weaknesses that will likely impact the outcome of the election.
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