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For the past ten years, Walmart has held the title of the nation's largest company by revenue. Last year, it achieved sales totaling $648 billion, equating to over $1.2 million per minute.
This status has brought numerous advantages. It has empowered Walmart in negotiations with product manufacturers and in discussions with government officials on policy matters. Additionally, it has been a source of pride, with job postings often highlighting the appeal of working at the "Fortune 1" company.
However, Walmart's dominance is currently facing challenges. If current sales trends persist, Amazon is poised to overtake Walmart soon. Amazon reported total revenue of $575 billion last year, a 12% increase from the previous year, compared to Walmart's revenue growth of 6%.
Maintaining its enormous size requires Walmart to find an additional $26 billion in sales this year to meet its target of around 4% annual growth. This is no small feat, especially considering that about 90% of Americans already shop at Walmart. The pandemic and rising inflation have boosted Walmart's revenue by $100 billion since 2019.
Despite its efforts, Walmart faces ongoing uncertainty in consumer confidence. While it's increasing investment in some areas, it's scaling back in others. Recently, Walmart announced plans to cut hundreds of corporate jobs and require most remote workers to return to offices.
While Amazon and Walmart compete directly in the retail space, there are significant differences in their business models. Amazon generates much of its profit from non-retail operations like cloud computing and advertising, while rapidly gaining retail market share through fast shipping. In contrast, Walmart derives the bulk of its sales and profits from U.S. stores, although it is expanding into areas like advertising and digital sales.
Walmart executives are particularly concerned about Amazon's ability to continue increasing profits through its non-retail business, while also capturing more of the retail market with its speedy delivery and extensive product selection. Some executives at Walmart are emphasizing the company's role as a responsible corporate citizen and stressing the importance of excelling in customer service and employee satisfaction, not just in size.
Walmart is constantly seeking new revenue sources. Earlier this year, it acquired television seller Vizio to bolster its advertising business. Walmart's ad sales reached $3.4 billion in fiscal year 2023, a 28% increase from the previous year. However, this is still significantly behind Amazon, which reported $11.8 billion in ad sales in just the first quarter of 2024.
Not all of Walmart's ventures have been successful. Last month, the company announced the closure of all 51 locations of a chain of health clinics it had opened next to its stores over the past five years.
Walmart faces fierce competition from a wide range of retailers, including discounters like Aldi and traditional grocers such as Publix and Kroger.
As Amazon's growth surged during the early years of the pandemic, Walmart executives discussed the possibility of Amazon's annual revenue surpassing $700 billion. Grocery sales are a particular concern for Walmart, as groceries account for a significant portion of its U.S. revenue. Executives projected that Amazon could capture up to 20% of the U.S. grocery market by 2030.
In response, Walmart is exploring ways to expand its retail business and attract more customers. It recently announced plans to build new stores, marking its first major store expansion in nearly a decade. Walmart also launched a new line of premium foods to attract new shoppers and encourage existing ones to spend more.
To enhance its online presence, Walmart is attracting more third-party sellers to Walmart.com. Executives are also placing greater emphasis on understanding today's complex consumer habits to gain a competitive edge.
Walmart's core customer base consists of low- and middle-income consumers, who make up the majority of the U.S. population. The company is looking for ways to attract more high-income consumers, defined as households earning over $100,000 a year, who tend to shop more at competitors like Amazon, Target, Trader Joe's, and Costco.
Doug McMillon, Walmart's CEO, aims to keep the company's 2.1 million global workers focused on simple, overarching goals such as lowering prices and building trust with shoppers.
McMillon wants to improve Walmart's general merchandise to appeal to a broader range of consumers, including higher-income shoppers. For example, he plans to mix inexpensive basics with more trendy clothing and colors through new brands.
Walmart has more data on consumer behavior and preferences than ever before, which is helping it make more informed decisions. The rise of online shopping has also changed how people perceive the brand, with Americans rating Walmart nearly as highly for convenience as they do for low prices.
Decoding consumer data has become critical for Walmart's growth strategy. The company relies on a team of data scientists and researchers to sift through millions of data points daily to understand who is shopping in its stores and how their needs are evolving.
One key insight driving Walmart's U.S. strategy is the concept of "customized moderation." This means consumers are moderating their spending based on their specific needs, rather than simply spending less overall.
During the pandemic, low-income Walmart shoppers purchased more shelf-stable produce to reduce waste, while middle-income shoppers opted for less expensive store brands. Higher-income consumers were drawn to Walmart for fresh items in addition to household essentials.
Walmart is tailoring its stores to cater to different consumer groups. Stores that attract more high-income shoppers feature upscale kitchen items and outdoor goods, while those catering to low-income shoppers offer budget-friendly products.
The company is also introducing a line of premium food called Bettergoods, featuring adventurous flavors and health considerations like gluten-free options.
Some of these efforts are bearing fruit. In the most recent quarter, Walmart said its sales continued to rise and it is gaining a larger share of shoppers in most categories. A large piece of the share gain in nonfood items is thanks to more higher-income shoppers and those buying online, Walmart’s Chief Financial Officer John David Rainey told analysts earlier this year. “They’re clearly shopping us in new ways,” he said. Walmart reports its next quarterly earnings tomorrow.