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"Ruth Cerezo-Mota, a Mexican climate researcher, expressed feelings of hopelessness and brokenness, stating, 'Sometimes it's nearly impossible not to feel this way.' After experiencing years marked by frequent droughts, floods, and fires, she had hoped that governments worldwide would listen to scientific findings and act in the best interests of their people. However, Cerezo-Mota now anticipates a catastrophic 3-degree Fahrenheit global temperature rise by the end of the century, far exceeding the 1.5-degree target and potentially causing enormous suffering for billions of people. Sadly, this is her more optimistic projection, indicating that the consequences of the climate crisis are not a distant future but a present reality.
Cerezo-Mota's sentiments are echoed by numerous IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) climate researchers, as revealed in an exclusive survey conducted by The Guardian. The survey paints a bleak picture of Earth's climate and the profound sense of hopelessness felt by these experts.
Of the 843 IPCC researchers surveyed, 380 responded, expressing significant concern about the future of the climate. A staggering 77% believe that average temperatures will rise by at least 2.5 degrees Fahrenheit, with nearly half expecting an increase of 3 degrees Fahrenheit or more. Only 6% are optimistic about achieving the 1.5-degree target.
Humanity is currently on track for a 2.7-degree increase with current global climate policies, leading to a potentially 'semi-dystopian' future characterized by famine, conflict, and mass migration triggered by extreme heatwaves, wildfires, floods, and storms. Despite clear scientific evidence, governments' inaction has left many experts feeling desperate, angry, and fearful.
Gretta Pecl of the University of Tasmania predicts significant social upheaval in the next five years, with food production collapsing and a bleak future looming. However, there are two sources of hope: technological solutions and the next generation. While nearly three-quarters of climate scientists cite a lack of political will as a major obstacle to climate protection, they also believe that the technical means to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees are already available.
Henry Neufeldt from the United Nations Climate Center in Copenhagen is optimistic that these solutions will be implemented in the next 20 years. However, there is concern that this may be too late, with irreversible tipping points in the climate system being crossed.
Beyond technological solutions, experts find hope in the next generation's awareness and understanding of the climate crisis. German climate researcher Lisa Schipper believes that the youth's engagement in politics is a beacon of hope.
In light of these challenges, scientists are urging immediate and decisive action from the global community. Climate protection requires not just technological advancements but also political will and social cohesion. Every measure to reduce warming, no matter how small, could alleviate human suffering and buy time to implement lasting solutions and prevent irreversible climate changes."